Virginia Tech
W-L: (48-12) PR = 97.0272Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 8- 4 206 A Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 4- 1 206 H Winthrop BSO ( 1- 9, 85.9) 1- 0 207 H Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 11- 3 207 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 8- 5 213 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 6- 7 213 A Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 7- 3 214 H Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 11- 3 214 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 2- 4 220 A Seton Hall BE ( 0- 5, 87.2) 7- 2 220 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 10- 3 221 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 9- 3 222 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 9- 3 227 A USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 15- 4 227 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 9- 5 228 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 8- 0 228 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 6- 2 301 H USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 11- 3 301 H USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 11- 3 305 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 5- 3 306 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 7- 0 307 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 7- 6 307 H Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 8- 2 308 A Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 11- 1 311 A Elon CA ( 1-14, 87.0) 14- 2 313 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 6- 7 314 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 2- 5 315 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 10- 2 318 A Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 12- 0 318 A Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 7- 1 320 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 10- 0 321 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 11- 3 322 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 2- 1 327 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 14- 5 327 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 11-11 329 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 17- 3 402 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 2- 4 403 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 9- 1 404 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 10- 5 407 A Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 7- 2 410 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 3- 4 411 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 5- 2 412 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 5- 0 415 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 9- 0 417 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 10- 2 418 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 2- 6 419 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 7- 9 422 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 9-10 424 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 6- 5 425 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 14- 5 426 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 5- 4 501 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 12- 1 502 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 13- 2 503 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 12- 1 507 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 3- 1 508 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 5- 0 509 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 1- 2 515 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 6- 0 516 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 516 A Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 7- 6 517 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 2- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A South Carolina 8- 4 4 1 + 2.68
206 A Binghamton 4- 1 3 8 -- -4.96
207 H Binghamton 11- 3 8 9 -1.44
207 A South Carolina 8- 5 3 1 1.68
213 A Michigan State 6- 7 -1 6 --- -6.70
213 A Villanova 7- 3 4 8 -- -4.33
214 H Villanova 11- 3 8 10 -1.82
214 A Charlotte 2- 4 -2 4 -- -5.98
220 A Seton Hall 7- 2 5 9 -- -4.04
220 H Utah State 10- 3 7 8 -1.37
221 A Georgia 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 7.41
222 H Missouri State 9- 3 6 7 -0.97
227 A USC Upstate 15- 4 11 6 ++ 5.35
227 A Auburn 9- 5 4 2 + 2.47
228 A Troy 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.47
228 A Auburn 6- 2 4 2 + 2.47
301 H USC Upstate 11- 3 8 7 0.86
301 H USC Upstate 11- 3 8 7 0.86
305 H Michigan 5- 3 2 3 -1.01
306 H James Madison 7- 0 7 5 1.96
307 H Penn State 7- 6 1 3 -1.81
307 H Radford 8- 2 6 8 -1.69
308 A Bryant 11- 1 10 9 0.52
311 A Elon 14- 2 12 9 + 2.72
313 A Duke 6- 7 -1 0 -0.67
314 A Duke 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.67
315 A Duke 10- 2 8 0 +++ 8.33
318 A Longwood 12- 0 12 8 + 3.55
318 A Longwood 7- 1 6 8 - -2.45
320 H NC State 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.00
321 H NC State 11- 3 8 5 + 3.00
322 H NC State 2- 1 1 5 - -4.00
327 H Kennesaw State 14- 5 9 10 -0.78
327 H North Carolina 11-11 0 4 - -3.98
329 A Boston College 17- 3 14 6 +++ 8.12
402 H Clemson 2- 4 -2 4 -- -5.85
403 H Clemson 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.15
404 H Clemson 10- 5 5 4 1.15
407 A Radford 7- 2 5 6 -1.21
410 A Virginia 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.79
411 A Virginia 5- 2 3 2 1.21
412 A Virginia 5- 0 5 2 + 3.21
415 A Liberty 9- 0 9 4 ++ 5.08
417 H Georgia Tech 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.07
418 H Georgia Tech 2- 6 -4 3 --- -6.93
419 H Georgia Tech 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.93
422 H Liberty 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.40
424 H North Carolina 6- 5 1 4 - -2.98
425 H North Carolina 14- 5 9 4 ++ 5.02
426 A NC State 5- 4 1 4 - -2.51
501 A Syracuse 12- 1 11 7 + 3.60
502 A Syracuse 13- 2 11 7 + 3.60
503 A Syracuse 12- 1 11 7 + 3.60
507 H Virginia 3- 1 2 3 -1.28
508 A Duke 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.33
509 A Florida State 1- 2 -1 -1 0.19
515 H South Alabama 6- 0 6 5 0.61
516 A LSU 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.26
516 A Akron 7- 6 1 6 -- -4.66
517 H LSU 2- 7 -5 1 -- -5.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Michigan State 6- 7 -1 6 --- -6.70 418 H Georgia Tech 2- 6 -4 3 --- -6.93 422 H Liberty 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.40 516 A LSU 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.26 206 A Binghamton 4- 1 3 8 -- -4.96 213 A Villanova 7- 3 4 8 -- -4.33 214 A Charlotte 2- 4 -2 4 -- -5.98 220 A Seton Hall 7- 2 5 9 -- -4.04 402 H Clemson 2- 4 -2 4 -- -5.85 419 H Georgia Tech 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.93 516 A Akron 7- 6 1 6 -- -4.66 517 H LSU 2- 7 -5 1 -- -5.75 314 A Duke 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.67 318 A Longwood 7- 1 6 8 - -2.45 322 H NC State 2- 1 1 5 - -4.00 327 H North Carolina 11-11 0 4 - -3.98 410 A Virginia 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.79 424 H North Carolina 6- 5 1 4 - -2.98 426 A NC State 5- 4 1 4 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Georgia 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 7.41 315 A Duke 10- 2 8 0 +++ 8.33 329 A Boston College 17- 3 14 6 +++ 8.12 227 A USC Upstate 15- 4 11 6 ++ 5.35 228 A Troy 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.47 320 H NC State 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.00 403 H Clemson 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.15 415 A Liberty 9- 0 9 4 ++ 5.08 417 H Georgia Tech 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.07 425 H North Carolina 14- 5 9 4 ++ 5.02 508 A Duke 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.33 205 A South Carolina 8- 4 4 1 + 2.68 227 A Auburn 9- 5 4 2 + 2.47 228 A Auburn 6- 2 4 2 + 2.47 311 A Elon 14- 2 12 9 + 2.72 318 A Longwood 12- 0 12 8 + 3.55 321 H NC State 11- 3 8 5 + 3.00 412 A Virginia 5- 0 5 2 + 3.21 501 A Syracuse 12- 1 11 7 + 3.60 502 A Syracuse 13- 2 11 7 + 3.60 503 A Syracuse 12- 1 11 7 + 3.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 8- 4 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.41 12.54
3 A Binghamton ( 1-13, 88.3) 4- 1 -11.57 7.80 0.74 0.41 7.06
3 H Winthrop ( 1- 9, 85.9) 1- 0 -13.99 5.38 -0.74 0.41 3.84
3 H Binghamton ( 1-13, 88.3) 11- 3 -11.57 7.80 -0.74 0.41 5.83
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 8- 5 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.41 12.54
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 6- 7 -9.31 10.06 0.74 0.41 -1.77
3 A Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 7- 3 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.41 6.75
3 H Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 11- 3 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.41 5.52
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 2- 4 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.41 -1.42
3 A Seton Hall ( 0- 5, 87.2) 7- 2 -12.66 6.71 0.74 0.41 6.16
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 10- 3 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.41 6.72
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 9- 3 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.41 14.80
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 9- 3 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.41 7.87
3 A USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 15- 4 -9.27 10.10 0.74 0.41 8.96
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 9- 5 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.41 12.37
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 8- 0 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.41 10.72
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 6- 2 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.41 12.37
3 H USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 11- 3 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.41 7.74
3 H USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 11- 3 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.41 7.74
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 5- 3 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.41 11.14
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 7- 0 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.41 9.47
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 7- 6 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.41 11.31
3 H Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 8- 2 -9.83 9.54 -0.74 0.41 7.27
3 A Bryant ( 3-12, 86.8) 11- 1 -13.09 6.28 0.74 0.41 5.80
3 A Elon ( 1-14, 87.0) 14- 2 -12.90 6.47 0.74 0.41 5.96
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 6- 7 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.41 -0.53
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.41 -0.53
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 10- 2 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.41 13.90
3 A Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 12- 0 -12.07 7.30 0.74 0.41 6.65
3 A Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 7- 1 -12.07 7.30 0.74 0.41 6.65
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 10- 0 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.41 9.50
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 11- 3 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.41 9.50
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 2- 1 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.41 9.50
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 14- 5 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.41 5.55
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 11-11 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.41 0.00
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 17- 3 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.41 8.78
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 2- 4 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.41 -1.39
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 9- 1 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.41 10.45
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 10- 5 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.41 10.45
3 A Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 7- 2 -9.83 9.54 0.74 0.41 8.50
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 3- 4 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.41 -0.96
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 5- 2 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.41 12.15
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 5- 0 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.41 12.15
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 9- 0 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.41 10.40
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 10- 2 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.41 11.21
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.41 -1.20
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 7- 9 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.41 -1.20
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 9-10 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.41 -1.71
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 6- 5 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.41 10.34
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 14- 5 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.41 10.34
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 5- 4 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.41 10.73
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 12- 1 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.41 7.52
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 13- 2 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.41 7.52
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 12- 1 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.41 7.52
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 3- 1 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.41 10.92
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 5- 0 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.41 13.90
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 1- 2 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.41 -0.35
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 6- 0 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.41 9.18
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.41 -0.44
3 A Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 7- 6 -9.27 10.10 0.74 0.41 8.96
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 2- 7 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.41 -0.75
------
430.49
|
winning pts = 442.7302 losing points = -12.2381
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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